How is claimant count counted




















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Register Benefits of registering. This consistent unemployed claimant series thus provides a better indicator of local labour market change over time than the Claimant Count. A public consultation asking users how these new statistics should be constructed and published was run in May Read the results of this consultation and the resulting publication strategy.

This strategy outlines the scope and purpose of the statistics and summarises responses from users to the consultation. The consultation on an alternative Claimant Count statistical series ran for 8 weeks from 21 May to 21 July and asked for feedback on the:. The consultation has proven to be a successful endeavour — as well as gaining views from a wider range of users on a new series, it has proven valuable in better understanding why and how users use the Claimant Count and, linked to the value pillar of official statistics, it gives a strong basis for investing the time and resource to develop and publish a new series.

As with the Claimant Count, these new statistics do not measure unemployment, as defined by the International Labour Organisation. They measure the number of people claiming unemployment related benefits. Data: The statistics form a modelled statistical series. Prior to April , Universal Credit conditionality group was not available and thus the statistics do not include a small number of Universal Credit Searching for Work claimants before April The JSA and Universal Credit elements of the series are largely drawn from official statistics published on these benefits.

The statistics also draw upon new and evolving datasets, such as Universal Credit Work Capability Assessment cases.

Those claimants awaiting a Work Capability Assessment are removed from the statistics. The series has been derived from January onwards. Prior to this date, not all data is available to consistently model earlier years. In particular data on claimants address history. The claimant unemployment rates use resident 16 to 64 population estimates as the denominator. The latest published mid-year estimates are for June Statistics on monthly flows onto and from the Count have been published for the first time in October These statistics are available by month February to August , by local area, by benefit type, and by age or gender.

Onflows: the number of people claiming unemployment related benefits in month t, who were not claiming in the previous month t Off-flows: the number of people no longer claiming unemployment related benefits in month t, who were claiming in the previous month t Statistics for Northern Ireland were published for the first time in January , thus the headline statistics now relate to UK rather than GB coverage.

Statistics are seasonally adjusted and standardised to control for 4 and 5 week counting periods. Frequency of publication and timeliness: The statistics are pre-announced for release on a quarterly basis, and with a 2-month lag between the publication date and the Count date. Thus the statistics are both published less frequently than the monthly Claimant Count, and are less timely than the Claimant Count. The statistics provide a best-estimate and a consistent estimate of this transition.

Any future changes to Universal Credit policy that introduce new groups of additional claimant within Searching for Work conditionality will mean that the statistical back-series may need to be adjusted to ensure consistency over time.

It is possible that annual adjustments to the series may be required. However, this conditionality group contains a broader span of claimants than under JSA definitions, for example:. Recent graduates might also have limited entitlement because of their short work histories, and they may not want to make a claim prior to embarking on their first job in any case.

The disproportionate increase in unemployment among the young may therefore have helped stretch the gap between the ILO measure in which they are captured and the claimant count in which they may not be. If this is the case, then we might expect some convergence in the measures as youth unemployment falls. The latest figures, with their much more rapid reduction in unemployment than in the claimant count, suggest this might just be happening.

Good news then. More detailed tables in the release provide data for the same timeframe as the ILO measure. Where previously such support was provided for 12 months, it is now only available for six. Those without sufficient contributions only receive the benefit if their household income is below a qualifying threshold. And after six months all unemployed people, regardless of their contributions, are subject to the income test. Event invitations Top of the Charts weekend-reading email Resolution Ventures newsletter.

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